Red Oak Quantitative Analytics

Providing Equity Market Research & Analysis

The Wave-State Market Theory

  • U.S. Equity Markets move in defined, observable waves. These waves turn market noise into a clear signal.

  • Red Oak Quant’s Wave-State Model is built to recognize where we are in each wave cycle and adjust portfolio exposure accordingly.

  • This is more than a simple oscillator or off-the-shelf indicator. The Wave-State Model is a proprietary, rules-based framework built from multiple signals and tested across ten years of historical data.

  • Each day, the system analyzes the internal structure of the market: breadth, momentum, and volatility across major U.S. equity indexes.

  • It classifies conditions into one of three “wave-states”:

    • Bullish Entry

    • Bullish Continuation

    • Defensive

  • The Wave-State Model uses a consistent, rules-based process to align portfolio construction with where we are in the current market wave.

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