Weekly Update + Market Alert

In last week’s update, we noted potential downside risks in the market, which materialized for both DIA and SPY. However, QQQ ended the week with a positive week-over-week gain. Our price targets remained well within the acceptable criteria for the quant model, and most notably, the model was exceptionally accurate for SPY, predicting a value of 604.77 compared to an actual result of 604.21.

Looking ahead to next week, our quant model indicates an increased likelihood of positive returns. The model shows a 71% probability of positive returns for DIA and SPY over the next 7 days. For QQQ, the probability is 54.1% over 7 days, rising substantially to 85% over a 14-day horizon. Given the recent run-up in QQQ, this projection aligns with broader market dynamics. Based on these probabilities, we are issuing a bullish entry window alert at this time. While some downside risks remain, the historical performance of these indices under similar conditions suggests a short- to medium-term bullish turn is likely in the coming week.

Disclaimer: The information provided here is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and my portfolio strategies may not align with your financial goals or risk tolerance. All investments carry inherent risks, including the potential loss of principal. Historical data and model-based projections are not guarantees of future performance. Please consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions.